Transcript of Something Different Is About To Hit The Stock Market
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0:00The stock market is falling after the0:02Houthis launched a large-scale attack on0:04Saudi Arabia, wounding more than 700:06people. Diesel prices are continuing to0:08rise off new all-time highs with Trump0:11saying prices will fall once the US wins0:14the war with Iran. And this week's0:16schedule is packed with Apple's new0:18product event tomorrow, Oracle earnings0:20on Thursday, and key CPI inflation data0:23on Friday. Today we cover why stocks are0:26falling, where the action is right now,0:29and what to know for the stock market.0:34The Houthis launched one of their0:36largest attacks on Saudi Arabia since0:38the war began, wounding 73 people,0:42striking four cities with missiles and0:44drones. This caused Brent crude to0:46approach $100 a barrel and the S&P 5000:49to fall. And Saudi Arabia has now vowed0:52to retaliate against Yemen's Houthi0:55militia after these recent attacks. The0:58Treasury Department sanctioned 271:00Iranian airlines and a handful of other1:02entities on Tuesday, targeting every1:05Iranian carrier that wasn't already1:07under restrictions. That means the1:09sanctions net now covers all of Iran's1:12remaining airlines. Today, the UK also1:16introduced its own sanctions on Iran,1:18restricting its access to the financial1:20system, expanding its trade bans on1:22goods and technology, and prohibiting1:25Iranian aircraft from landing without1:27exemptions. Like we talked about1:29yesterday, US diesel prices just hit an1:31all-time high, surpassing the previous1:34record set in June of 2022, with the1:37national average reaching $5.90 a1:40gallon. That is nearly 60% higher than1:42it was a year ago. And in California,1:45prices have climbed even further to1:47$7.82 a gallon. Now, higher diesel1:50prices raise costs across almost the1:52entire economy. Since diesel powers much1:55of trucking, agriculture, and freight1:57industries, as the price of diesel1:59remains higher, producing and2:01transporting everything from food to2:03consumer goods is going to become much2:05more expensive. Trump posted that oil2:08prices will drop and gas will fall to $22:11a gallon once the US wins the war with2:14Iran. Meanwhile, 15-year treasuries have2:17returned an average of minus2% per year2:21over the last decade, their worst2:23performance on record, and only the2:26second negative 10-year period since2:281936.2:30If you go back even further, the broader2:32historical bond series also shows the2:35worst rolling 10-year return and data2:38all the way going back to 1793.2:42So, this is truly historic. For2:44comparison, before the 2020 pandemic,2:47treasuries had averaged roughly 9%2:49annual returns over the previous decade.2:52And we are now over 170 trading days2:56into 2026. And the S&P 500 continues to2:59follow the 1978 market pattern more3:03closely than any other year on record.3:06Interestingly enough, 1978 was also a3:09midterm year marked by a renewed wave of3:11inflation. And it was also the year that3:14the Iranian revolution intensified with3:17widespread strikes on refineries that3:19eventually led to the oil crisis shortly3:22after. And we can see from this3:24historical market pattern, a drop did3:26happen uh around this time. So look out3:30for that. That is definitely concerning,3:33Mike. But hey guys, we are doing our3:35largest ever giveaway here at Stocked3:38Up. First place will actually get a3:40Secret Lab Prostanding desk valued3:43around $950 and a Secret Lab chair3:46valued around $625 along with the intro3:49to options and advanced options course3:51for a total value of around $3,000.3:54Uh second place will get a curved gaming3:57monitor and both courses for around just3:59under 2,000. And third place will get a4:02Logitech wired gaming keyboard along4:04with a wireless mouse for around $1,600.4:08To enter into this giveaway, check out4:10the link in the in the description down4:12below to get in on the Stocked Up4:15Discord server for free. Join in.4:17Navigate to the giveaways tab and click4:20the green check mark. There are 8784:22entries right now and there will be4:24three lucky winners. So, make sure you4:27get entered in before this ends in seven4:29days on September 15th at 100 pm Eastern4:33time.4:34>> Don't miss it. But another thing that4:35you shouldn't miss tomorrow is Apple's4:37new product event that's scheduled for4:39100 p.m. Eastern time as the company's4:42expected to unveil their iPhone 18 Pro4:45lineup and its first ever foldable4:48iPhone. Historically, Apple stock has4:51fallen more than 60% of the time on the4:54day of its iPhone launch event, but has4:56risen 62.5%4:58of the time the following day. The5:01broader market has performed even better5:03the day after these events with the S&P5:06500 positive 79.2% of the time and the5:10NASDAQ positive 75% of the time. So,5:13keep a close eye on this, too. Yeah. And5:15Apple has been a pretty interesting5:17stock lately. We had a big gap down5:19recently on their earnings report, but5:22as we can see, they actually rose and5:24filled that gap. And now we're starting5:25to see a downtrend possibly start to5:28take hold. If there is a negative5:30reaction to this event, I would not be5:32surprised to see Apple's stock start to5:34downtrend even harder from this recent5:36peak. But of course, this folding iPhone5:39is going to be extremely interesting.5:41And it's been a long time since Apple5:43has innovated or updated the look of5:46their phones. And the stock even made5:48all-time highs in 2026 recently as well.5:51So, it's not far off. And I think that5:53we could push the all-time high pretty5:55easily if there is a positive reaction5:57here. So, definitely keep Apple on the6:00radar, but there are a few other things6:02to keep on the radar. When looking at6:04the schedule this week as well, we can6:06see that there's PPI data 1 hour before6:08open at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time on6:10Thursday, followed by existing home6:12sales at 10:00 a.m. Eastern on Thursday.6:15But the big day is going to be Friday as6:17we get the CPI inflation release 1 hour6:21before open at 8:30 a.m. Eastern. Right6:24now, the inflation rate year-over-year6:26is expected to stick right around the6:28same at 3.4%. We can see that the core6:31inflation rate year-over-year is6:33actually expected to drop by 0.1%. If we6:36see this come in hot, that could spook6:38the markets a little bit. So, keep your6:40eyes on inflation with higher energy6:42prices, it's going to be a crazy end to6:45the trading week. Trump is also6:47threatening to ban Canadian bombader6:50jets from being sold in the US unless6:53they're built in America, saying no more6:55selling bombadier in the United States6:58and urging Americans to buy American.7:01The threat comes as Canada's dollar7:02fordoll retaliatory tariffs officially7:05took effect yesterday, targeting roughly7:08$20 billion of US imports at rates of up7:12to 50%. The tariffs cover more than 7007:15products including steel, aluminum,7:18dairy, appliances, and many more. And7:21Canada and the EU are now working toward7:23a new partnership to offset the global7:26power politics dominated by the US and7:28China. It's going to cover trade,7:30defense, space, and scientific research.7:33And this is expected to be announced on7:35September 16th, the same day as the FOMC7:38meeting. And eyeing up the overall7:41market and the SPY right now, we can see7:43that it's 1.72%7:45off of the all-time high and has been7:48downtrending over the past couple of7:50trading days. Looking at the spy, there7:52is there is this clear downtrend in7:54play. And this is going to be the main7:56thing that I look at for tomorrow. And7:58of course, 768 was a big level today.8:01And the spy kind of confirmed a8:03breakdown there into market close. Now,8:06as I watch the SPY really holding8:08underneath that 768 area will be very8:11important to continue to show that this8:14is in a bearish type of uh environment8:17right now. But as we look at the overall8:19market, you know, it had been trying to8:21rise up at the middle to end of last8:23week. And as I look at that move last8:26week, there was a clear double bottom in8:28play around 760. That is going to be a8:30big target as we move throughout the8:32week. And if the spy continues to move8:34lower, I do have support at 765 on the8:38way down where the spy is consolidating8:40into after hours here and also at 7628:44before we get down to that 760 area. The8:47SPY has been in a very interesting spot8:49lately and over the past few weeks has8:52been very choppy and stuck in a very8:54large range. I do expect that around the8:57end of this week, especially as we get8:59to see how the inflation data comes out,9:01we might finally see the SPY either9:03break to the upside or downside away9:05from this overall range. The recent9:08price action has been pretty shaky in a9:11broader term sense. The S&P 500 still is9:14in a uptrend. We can see that its 2009:17day moving average has now risen for 3299:21straight trading sessions, the fourth9:23longest streak of the last decade.9:26Combined with the previous run that9:28previously ended in April 2025, the9:31streak has lasted roughly 800 sessions,9:34which would rank the third longest since9:361990. Historically speaking, the S&P 5009:40has returned an average of 8 and a half%9:42per year when its 200 day moving average9:45is rising. So that's the good news. At9:48the same time though, we are coming off9:51of a holiday week. And historically9:53speaking, um the performance after Labor9:57Day is relatively weak. Since 2017, the10:02S&P 500 has fallen on the first trading10:05day after Labor Day every single year,10:07while the full 4-day week has finished10:10positive in just three of the nine10:13times. Jumping into the earnings lineup10:16for the rest of the week, tomorrow is10:18pretty clear. On Thursday and after10:20hours, Oracle and Adobe do report and10:23that can end up moving the software10:25sector and IGV quite a bit. So, watch10:28out for that on Thursday. But besides10:31that, it is time to jump into the good10:33stuff, which are some setups and10:34predictions for tomorrow. And with my10:37first one, I'm looking at Intel. Intel10:40popped off today following reports that10:42the company is planning to raise prices10:44on its PC processors by around 10%10:47starting in October. Intel also crossed10:501 million wafers processed using ASML's10:53advanced EUV technology. And off of the10:56news, ASML stock was also moving. But10:59looking at Intel more specifically, this11:02stock was on fire today. And a few other11:04chip stocks moved pretty well too, like11:07AMD, which we will mention in just a11:09little while. But looking at Intel here,11:12uh it was a great move of over 9%. And11:15if I continue to see good price action11:17into tomorrow and it breaks out above11:1910610, watch for a continuation higher.11:23If we go to the daily chart, we can see11:25that Intel was downtrending recently.11:28But what else we can see is that a clear11:30base is starting to now form down around11:33$80 to $90. I know that that's a very11:35large zone, but it's starting to really11:38hold up and there's also starting to be11:40a trend of higher lows coming into play11:43off of that $80 support. So, I'm going11:45to continue watching Intel up in the11:47short term. There is some resistance11:49that I noticed on the daily chart right11:51around 10750.11:53That does concern me a bit, but if we do11:56see good momentum continue with chip11:58stocks, Intel could break through that12:00and start to push towards 120 or even12:02higher over the next few weeks. Love it.12:05Another stock that's still close on12:07watch is Nphase. We mentioned this one12:09yesterday and it had a great move today12:12just under 7%. Nphase is an energy12:15technology company that designs,12:17manufactures, and sells home and some12:20commercial solar and energy management12:23systems. It's double bottoming off this12:25$35 support, presenting a good12:27riskreward ratio. The setup is still in12:31play and the energy sector has been12:33doing pretty well in general this year12:37though most of that has been from like12:40um oil related energy rather than solar12:43which is what Nphase is involved in.12:46Still the riskreward has been good off12:48this $35 support and this bounce is12:51still in play. Yeah, Nphase had a great12:54move today. I love the overall price12:56action off of that double bottom. And12:58with my next setup, I'm looking at13:00another stock that has had a double13:02bottom just like that. And this is13:04Oaklo. Oaklo popped up around 5% today.13:08And we actually had a recent big money13:10trade with Oaklo where the big money13:12trader put $12 million into the 4513:15strike calls that expired in around a13:17month or uh October 16th of 2026. Now,13:21as I look at Oaklo in the short term, it13:23held that double bottom and this play is13:26now up over 100%. This big money trader13:29here is up over $12 million or was at13:32the high of day today on this position.13:35So, this is a pretty crazy big money13:37trade and shout out to everybody that13:38caught this one, but I am continuing to13:41watch it up in the short term, too.13:43there's been this nice double bottom and13:45there is some positivity starting to13:47come into nuclear related companies as I13:50think that there's starting to become13:52some hype uh going into companies that13:54need to power AI because AI and AI13:57infrastructure needs a lot of power and14:00I think that as we go throughout the14:01next few years we're going to start to14:04need more more power uh to obviously14:07power America's overall grid and of14:09course some of these companies like Ollo14:11SMR and others could benefit from that.14:14So, keep watching Oaklo in the short14:16term. I love the short-term price action14:18and I even think that there's some14:19longer term opportunities whenever you14:22start zooming out on these stocks as14:23well. Yeah, that has been a great mover14:26recently. Another stock, it's another14:28stock worth watching closely. Of course,14:31energy is also still close on the radar.14:33Tickers like UG, CRK, XLE, and others14:38have been uh insane money makers,14:40especially over these past few months.14:43These types of companies and these14:45assets have been benefiting tremendously14:47from the historic energy supply14:50disruption in the Middle East. CRA14:53tracks oil refining companies who've14:56been benefiting again from the supply14:58disruption in the Middle East15:00especially, while UG tracks gas prices15:03which are just going higher nearly every15:05single day. While XLE tracks the energy15:08sector as a whole. They're all moving15:11higher and they each have their own sets15:13of uh tradeoffs, but energy is still15:16close on the radar until this US Iran15:19war shows some signs of deescalating.15:23Yeah, these moves have been absolutely15:25wild. I do not blame you for calling15:27them out again, Mike. CK rose again15:30today by 1.8%.15:33This is getting insane. But like I said15:35earlier, we were going to circle back to15:37AMD. So, let's go ahead and jump into15:39today's momentum plays. And with the15:42first one, I'm looking at ticker symbol15:44AMD to the upside. AMD started to break15:47out of a longer term downtrend today.15:50And if we see it move above 51235,15:53continue watching it higher into15:55tomorrow.15:56>> Another stock that's close on watch is15:59Solar Edge, ticker symbol SEG, to the16:02upside. If SEDG is able to break out16:05above $37.35,16:08watch for the continuation. There is a16:10clear double top there today. And then16:12service now, ticker symbol NOW, to the16:15downside.16:16>> Yeah, if N can break below $13,240.16:21Go ahead and watch for the downside16:23continuation play. This stock closed16:25down around 5% as software started to16:28sell off a bit. These three stocks are16:30on the radar for potential continuations16:32tomorrow if and only if they break16:35through the levels listed. These stocks16:37are volatile, so always protect16:38yourself. Use stop losses. Know why16:41you're entering any trade you ever get16:42into and focus on making smart,16:45disciplined trading decisions above all16:47else. We have a lot of great information16:49in the Stockup Discord group, so16:50definitely check that out. And let's16:52jump right into today's $2.1 million big16:56money trade. Today we are looking at16:58ticker symbol AGI. The trader here17:02traded the 45 strike call options that17:05expire on December 18th of 2026. This17:09company is Alamos Gold. It is an17:12intermediate Canadian gold producer17:14engaged in the acquisition, exploration,17:16development, and extraction of precious17:19metal reserves. Looking at this stock,17:22it has had a nice recovery over the past17:26month and a half or so. And gold prices17:28have been attempting to recover recently17:31as well. Of course, we are in a very17:34interesting dynamic right now with the17:36market as a whole where yields are17:39rising quite a bit as well and there is17:41increased demand for safe haven assets17:44given the geopolitical term oil. Looking17:48at this trade, these options are a bit17:51far out of the money, which makes this a17:54little bit more of a higher risk, higher17:56reward trade, where the because the17:58trade is out of the money, it is less18:00likely to expire in the money, which18:03makes it riskier. But in the event AGI18:06does have a big move, these call options18:09can do fairly well. So, very interesting18:12trade setup, and I'm excited to see how18:14it does.18:15Yeah, AGI is in an interesting technical18:18position right now as it's not18:20necessarily very close to the recent low18:23or support. And yet again, it's also not18:25very close to its recent high. I would18:28actually put this one somewhere more in18:30the middle of its trading range, at18:32least whenever you zoom out on the daily18:34chart. And something that I did notice18:37as well is that it's pretty close to18:39resistance, ve very close to 37 to $40.18:43This is going to be a big zone for AGI18:45to test over the next few weeks to see18:47if it can break. Now, with AGI, we did18:50actually see a pretty big pullback from18:52the recent peak in the shorter term. And18:54that pullback was actually a 10% drop or18:57correction, as a lot of people like to18:59call it. It's just that this stock has19:01went so crazy this year that even that19:0310% pullback looks pretty minuscule. But19:06something that's nice is that we can19:08look at that recent low on that 10%19:11pullback very close to 3480. And that19:14could maybe be an area that some19:15traders, you know, look to stop out at19:17if it breaks under that. Uh that will be19:19a big area of support that I eye up on19:21the way down. And there's also going to19:23be another very large support right19:25around 3230 to $32. I've noticed that19:29this stock has bounced multiple times19:31very close to that range. And I would19:32not be surprised if it tried to hold or19:35bounce. somewhere in between where it is19:37now before it starts to go on that19:40overall uptrend. Of course, time will19:42tell, but that is one of the possible19:44ways that this could end up playing out.19:46Keep your eyes on AGI. Very interesting.19:49Just watch out because it is out of the19:51money. So, I expect Theta Decay to take19:53hold pretty quickly if it doesn't move19:55fast. If you are new to the channel,19:58welcome and consider destroying that20:01subscribe button for every single20:03trading day. We post brand new videos20:05just like this one, showcasing crazy20:07multi-million dollar big money trades,20:09the most important news, upcoming20:11information, important events, and20:13everything you need to know about the20:14stock market and more. It takes a long20:16time to make these videos each day. We20:19also cover historical stats. We do20:21giveaways pretty frequently as well, and20:23we're always adding new things. So, if20:25you're new, consider obliterating that20:27subscribe button to get our videos20:29recommended to you more often. We also20:31want to give a giant shout out to20:33today's member of the day, Noesto in the20:36Stocked Up Discord, who had some great20:38gains today with AMD, QQQ, Dell, Spy,20:43and MU. Huge shout out to you and keep20:45up the great work going forward. It's20:47awesome to see posts like this one.20:49Besides that, thank you guys so much for20:51watching, and let's crush it in the20:54market tomorrow.
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