Transcript of The Next Few Days Could Get VERY Interesting…
StockedUp
0:00Something very strange just happened0:02with QQQ yesterday and historically what0:04followed wasn't good. President Trump0:07also spoke at the UNGA this morning,0:10saying he's facing a big decision with0:12Iran. Oil continued to fall for its0:14fifth straight day as Saudi Arabia0:16restarted their critical East West oil0:19pipeline. And MOA popped off today after0:22announcing that they'll share news0:24regarding their cancer vaccine soon. The0:27last time Mona had big cancer news, the0:29stock surged over 197% in just one day.0:34Today, we cover why stocks are rising,0:36what to know, and where the action is0:39right now.0:43It's been a while since we've seen0:45something this interesting. Yesterday,0:47QQQ was up 2.75%0:50on a day where VXN, its volatility0:52index, was up at least one point. Every0:55other time that's happened, QQQ has had0:58some major draw downs over the next five1:00days. Its median two-week and one month1:02forward returns are also shockingly1:05negative with median one-month returns1:07of negative 5.88%.1:10The stock market has been extremely1:12strong though, and part of the reason1:13why might be tied to the fact that1:16everyone is banking on it going up. US1:18households now have a record 39.9%1:21of their net worth invested in stocks.1:24By far the highest level that we've seen1:26since at least 1987. The gap between1:29stock and real estate exposure is at1:3120.6 percentage points, which is also a1:34record. And the last couple of times we1:36saw this gap widen, it was right before1:38some major market collapses. It happened1:41in COVID around 2018 and 2019 and more1:44notably in the late 90s with the dotcom1:46bubble collapse. SPY fell 50% during1:49that pullback, one of the worst periods1:52in market history. And everyone says1:54that we're in a bubble right now. So, we1:56better keep our eyes on this. This1:58morning, the UN General Assembly2:00gathered in New York with nearly 1302:02world leaders in attendance. Trump2:05defended the war by restating that the2:07US is trying to prevent Iran from2:09obtaining a nuclear weapon and said he2:11believes a deal will be reached after2:13the midterm elections. He also said he2:15faces a big decision between reaching a2:18deal with Iran or quote annihilating the2:20Islamic Republic. And today Saudi Arabia2:23restarted its East West oil pipeline2:26which allows roughly 4 million barrels2:28per day to bypass the straight of Hormuz2:30and reach the Red Sea. This pipeline had2:33been shut down since it was struck on2:35September 11th and 13th, but is now2:38pumping again at a low rate with some2:40exports expected to resume. WTI crude2:43oil futures fell towards $89 a barrel2:46off this news, its lowest since2:48September 4th and its fifth straight day2:50of losses, which is helping the stock2:52market. But Bank of America also just2:56raised its second half 2026 Brent oil2:58forecast from $83 to $95 a barrel. That3:03is quite a spike, saying it expects3:05Middle East disruptions to continue3:07through the end of the year and warned3:09that if oil inventories keep falling,3:11Brent could potentially spike above3:13$150, although it expects prices to3:16average closer to $80 in 2027.3:20Trump and President Xiinping are still3:22scheduled to meet this Thursday, and3:24it's looking like China is unlikely to3:26bring a delegation of Chinese CEOs to3:29the summit. On the other hand, Trump is3:31bringing basically everybody with tech3:34CEOs like Sam Alman, Jensen Wong, Elon3:37Musk, and Jeff Bezos attending a dinner3:39party during the summit. And3:41historically, China deals and news have3:44caused major moves in the stock market.3:46Now, of course, while this news heavily3:48lowers the potential for any major3:50business agreements coming out of the3:52summit, Trump and Xi are still expected3:54to focus on extending the trade truce,3:57AI development, and tariffs. And most3:59recently in 2025, the Liberation Day4:02crash resulted in a 21% spy pullback4:05from the February peak to April lows.4:08And bearish sentiment is at a one-year4:11high and is considerably higher than4:14where it was over the past month. 53.3%4:17of individual investors are now bearish4:20on where the market is heading in the4:22next 6 months compared to the historical4:24average of 31.5%.4:27I find this to be pretty interesting,4:29especially as stocks have been making4:31new highs recently and are pretty close4:33to new all-time highs with this push4:35over the past couple of trading days.4:38Open AAI, Anthropic, and SpaceX are now4:41valued at a combined $5.2 trillion. That4:45is more than the entire value of all US4:47tech IPOs since 1980 combined. Open AAI4:51is no longer expected to IPO this year,4:53but it is still interesting that some of4:55the world's biggest private companies4:57and investors see this as a good time to4:59sell shares to the public at these5:01massive valuations. And looking at the5:04overall market right now, SPY is 0.76%5:08off of that all-time high. The all-time5:10high is at 77937.5:12And we've been seeing the SPY start to5:14break out of a massive downwards5:16channel. Now, SPY has been downtrending5:19since it peaked back on the 13th of5:21August, and it has been very choppy on5:23the way down. But notably, at the end of5:26last week, we saw SPY start to pop up,5:28and then early this week, that5:30continuation really got us to break5:32through this overall downwards trend and5:35channel. So, as I look at the spy play5:37out right now, we're very close to5:39highs, but we're not necessarily away5:41from any major resistance levels either.5:44There was a couple of peaks here on5:46Friday, August 28th, and back on5:48September 3rd and September 4th. The SPY5:51essentially tested this 775 to 775505:54resistance zone multiple times, and it's5:57having a lot of trouble breaking through5:59this zone in the short term right now.6:02And personally, I love the way that the6:03SPY is setting up. You know, we're6:05seeing a big jump to the upside coming6:08right after that FOMC event. And as we6:10actually look at the spy the last time6:12that it started to break through highs,6:14we can actually see that, you know, it6:16had a similar type of pattern like spy6:18had a big jump down before before6:20running way to the upside and testing6:22that major resistance. Now the big6:24question is are we at this point in the6:27spy's movement or pattern or are we at6:29this point where we will actually get6:31that real breakout and momentum6:33continuing? I suppose time will tell,6:36but if chip stocks keep moving the way6:37that they have been, we could see this6:39play out pretty soon. Specifically with6:42levels for tomorrow, keep watching this6:44resistance zone at 775. If we start to6:47see that break, watch out for 777 to 7786:50and then the all-time high just before6:53780. Of course, if we start to see the6:55SPY fall to the downside, watch 772 for6:58an initial breakdown. SPY did use this7:01as a low of day today or at least very7:03close to there. And if we see a pullback7:05below 772, I think that we could start7:07to see more of a short-term pullback7:09towards 770 or even 768.7:13But before moving forward, if you guys7:15are not yet subscribed, make sure that7:17you hit that subscribe button and also7:19hit the notification bell to be alerted7:21whenever a new video is released. We7:24release a new video before every single7:26trading day with a lot of information,7:28plays, and a huge market update that I7:31know a lot of people out there7:32appreciate. And if you enjoy it, destroy7:34that subscribe button. It's free and7:36it's a nice way to give back to us. So,7:38I appreciate it, guys. But also, Mike7:41will be back in tomorrow's video. I just7:43wanted to let you guys know that he had7:45to miss tonight's, of course, for a7:46family matter, but he will be back for7:48tomorrow. But let's go ahead and jump7:51into the next thing, which is the fact7:53that we're now only eight days from the7:55best buying point during a midterm year.7:57September 30th has consistently had the8:00lowest S&P performance since 1928 when8:03it's a midterm year, making it a great8:05buying point. The S&P 500 gained more8:08than 1% and closed with a bullish MACD8:11crossover while sitting within 1% of its8:14all-time high. Since the bull market8:16began back in 2023, every similar MACD8:20crossover within 5% of a record high has8:23seen the S&P 500 trade higher 3 days8:26later. That is huge. So continue8:28watching for this. This seems to be some8:30very bullish price action. And even when8:32we go out four weeks later, the market8:34goes green 100% of the time in these8:37scenarios, at least going back to 2023.8:40But looking at the economic schedule for8:42the rest of this week, things are mostly8:44clear, but there are some Fed speakers8:46mixed in, so keep that in mind. And on8:49Friday, durable goods orders will8:51release 1 hour before market open at8:538:30 a.m. Eastern time. So continue8:55watching out for that as well. But we8:58have a special wild card for today as9:00MOA announced that it will share data9:02from its successful latestage cancer9:04vaccine trial and the stock is up over9:077% today. The company will present the9:10full data at the ESMO cancer conference9:13on October 24th. So, make sure you're9:16paying close attention to that date9:18because the last time that MOA announced9:20good news regarding their cancer9:21vaccine, the stock surged over 197% in9:26just one single trading day. And year to9:28date, MOA is up 56%.9:32That is pretty insane to say for a9:33health care maker like them. Although9:35this vaccine is a huge deal right now in9:39the overall market and there was also a9:41big money trade called out on MOA back9:43on August 12th. So shout out to9:45everybody that took advantage and caught9:47this overall MOA move. Jumping into9:50earnings for the rest of the week.9:51Costco does report in after hours on9:54Thursday and can give us an update on9:56the state of consumer and even consumer9:58spending. So continue watching for10:00Costco's earnings. It could even give us10:02an update about inflation as well. But10:05something that's pretty insane is that10:07the gap between US earnings growth and10:09the rest of the world has never been10:11wider. Since 1990, earnings for US10:14companies have grown nearly,300%10:17compared with with roughly 500% for10:20companies outside the US, meaning US10:22earnings have grown about 2.6 times10:25faster. But now it's time to jump into10:28the good stuff, which are some setups10:29and predictions for tomorrow. And with10:32my first play, I'm looking at ticker10:34symbol CUR A, which is Cural Leaf10:36Holdings. If you guys have never heard10:38of this company, it is a marijuana10:40stock. And as we know, marijuana stocks10:43have gotten hit down pretty hard over10:45the past few years. But over the past10:48year to year and a half, we have started10:50to seen a pretty large comeback in the10:53MJ sector. Whether you look at CUR or10:56even MJ or MSOS, which is a US cannabis10:59ETF, they all have been starting to come11:02back over the past year and a half. And11:04MSOS actually popped up 7.89% at close11:08today. But also, if we look at CUR, they11:11have something special going on where11:13they launched an unsolicited hostile11:15takeover bid to acquire Aora Cannabis or11:18ticker symbol ACB. Now, whenever we look11:20at this, the strategic goal of this11:22buyout is to absorb Iora's uh11:25international medical footprint and11:26balance sheet to build a scaled global11:28player ahead of broader federal reform.11:31As we know, everybody's looking at the11:33federal government to change their11:35regulations or update regulations11:37regarding marijuana, making it easier to11:40do banking, among many other things. But11:42the problem is that Aora's board has11:45officially rejected the offer as11:47inadequate, prompting Curleaf to take11:49its bid directly to shareholders in an11:51active battle for control. Well, we can11:53see that CUR and ACB are both moving up11:57in the short term. So, I think it's11:58worth watching both. But I really do12:01like CUR as it popped up by 11%. And we12:04can see at the same time it's12:06approaching a major zone of resistance12:08around $17 where it triple topped back12:11around the middle of April and even in12:13May and the beginning of June, too, if12:15you count that. So, I'm looking at CUR12:18at the moment. Looking for a breakout of12:2017. There was a lot of good movement12:22with MJ stocks today. I really scoured12:25the news and didn't find many huge12:27updates that would have accounted for12:29everything moving. But I think that this12:31situation with Curleaf and ACB is12:33definitely going to be interesting for12:35these two companies specifically. And12:37with my second play of the day, I'm12:39looking at ticker symbol AG or or First12:42Majestic Silver Corp. Now, as I look at12:45AG, it is in a pretty wild formation12:47right now. And we also had a big money12:49trade called out back on August 4th with12:52AG. And it actually performed pretty12:54well there for a few weeks up into the12:56recent highs, but has since expired.12:58That play did very well. Well, since13:00that play expired, we've seen AG start13:03to pull back towards major support13:05around $1790 to $18. And we're seeing it13:09start to bounce off of this range. Uh,13:11as we look at AG start to bounce, go13:13ahead and watch the recent high on AG13:16around 2215 as well. That's going to be13:18a very large area as a target to the13:21upside. Today, we saw gold and silver13:23stocks start to pop back up as Trump was13:26talking at that UN um UNGA speech. And13:30overall, gold and silver have been down13:32in the dumps over the past few weeks.13:34But at the same time, nothing has really13:36changed globally, especially with the13:39Iran war to really cause a major13:41pullback with, we'll say, safe haven13:43assets. So, as I look at GLD right now,13:46I think that traders could start to jump13:48back into some of these metals as they13:50approach some of these major support13:52zones. GLD is right around $390 to $40013:55right now, and there's a huge longer13:58term support around 365 and even 380. So14:01continue watching gold and silver stocks14:04into tomorrow. I think that we could see14:06AG continue to pop off and silver is the14:09same thing as gold. You know, it's been14:10pulling back a lot. And we're starting14:12to see it uptrend at least with today's14:14move. And if we do see that happen, AG14:17could easily come back to $22, if not14:20even more. I think that looking at maybe14:22some 22 or 25 strike call options uh14:25with with some time could play out very14:27well for some of these overall metal14:29companies. But with my setups and plays14:32out of the way, let's go ahead and jump14:34into today's momentum plays. And with14:37the first one, we're looking at ticker14:38symbol MRNA or MOA. It officially broke14:43out past its recent high. And if it14:45breaks out above 18730 tomorrow,14:47continue watching MONA for another14:50upside move. But with the second play of14:52the day, check out ticker symbol WDC or14:55Western Digital. if Western Digital ends14:58up moving up past $474.15:01Also, watch this one to the upside. It15:03ended up closing up by 3.67% today, even15:07counting the intraday pullback, too. It15:09had a nice end of day recovery to15:11complement that early morning move. And15:14with the third and final setup, look at15:16ticker symbol RCL or Royal Caribbean to15:19the downside. If it breaks down under15:21$230, look at RCL down. It closed down15:25over 6% today. And if we actually look15:28at the daily chart, it's getting pretty15:30nasty and it's testing a very large zone15:32of support. So if 230 breaks, continue15:35watching RCL to the downside. But of15:39course, whether you're looking at these15:40three setups or any setups in the entire15:43stock market, make sure that you're15:45going into every single trade, making15:46smart trading decisions, having a real15:49plan and strategy for every single trade15:51as well. This is going to be very15:53important to get you to profitability if15:55you're not there yet and also continue15:57learning and bettering yourself as a16:00trader. You can do these things in the16:02stocked up Discord server. Check out the16:04link in the description down below to16:06join up for free. But with the momentum16:09plays out of the way, it's time to jump16:11into today's $2.84 million big money16:16trade. And with today, we're looking at16:18ticker symbol NLX or Netflix. I'm sure16:21just about everybody knows what Netflix16:23is. It's a major streaming service16:26provider. Obviously, they have thousands16:28of movies, TV shows, and they've even16:30been dabbling more into live events, and16:32sports recently. Well, the big money16:34trader here put $2.84 million into the16:3780 strike calls expiring about a year16:39from now on September 17th of 2027. Now,16:43as we look at this overall setup with16:46Netflix right now, I know that this play16:48might seem a little crazy because it's16:50out of the money. It's the 80 strike16:52call, which is a little bit out of the16:54money for now, but if whenever you think16:56about it, just a couple weeks ago on16:58September 14th, Netflix was trading at17:01$80. So, really, it's not that far out17:03of the money. Especially when you think17:05about how much time this trade has.17:08You're going to have to give this trade17:09a lot of time. probably the big money17:11trader here is going to be holding this17:13out into 2027. So, it's going to be17:15important to be patient with this trade17:17and to let it develop over some length17:20of time. But if we actually look at17:22Netflix on more of a technical side, we17:24can see that it's been downtrending very17:26hard here over the past year to year and17:28a half. And during this overall17:31downtrend, Netflix has actually pulled17:33back 46% from highs. But something17:35that's pretty huge is that it's testing17:37a big support range around $65 to $70.17:41If we actually zoom out on a daily17:43chart, we can see that this overall17:45support ended up being the high posted17:48back in November of 2021. And not only17:51did we see price action around that $6817:54area back in 21, we also saw movement17:57around there in 2024 as Netflix had a18:00lot of trouble breaking through that on18:02the way up and then even confirmed off18:04of this area as it started to rise. So18:07looking at Netflix in the short term and18:09eyeing up this big money trade, I find18:11this to be extremely interesting as18:14support comes into play. It makes for a18:16really good risk-reward ratio given18:18where Netflix is right now. If we do see18:20an overall recovery, you know, if you18:23look at the riskreward setup and you18:25stop out under the recent low and let's18:27say you even extend it out quite a bit18:29and stop out under $60, you know, within18:32one year from now, Netflix could easily18:34jump and retest maybe this uh overall18:36peak at 10860 that it posted back in18:39April of 2026. And that's honestly18:42pretty close. And that would even18:44represent a third a uh a risk-reward18:46ratio of 2.57.18:48So that is a very good riskreward. And18:51continue watching Netflix and this18:53overall big money trade. I find it to be18:55extremely interesting. I know a lot of18:57people have been eyeing up longerterm18:59positions on Netflix as it drops with19:02hopes that management starts to turn19:04things around a little bit. But we19:06cannot move forward without mentioning19:08today's member of the day and shout out19:11to you Zack D. That was quite the gain19:14there. Overall, they made $5,600 today19:17and $5,100 on some Dell put options. And19:21I know Mike has been talking a lot about19:23Dell put options recently. So, that's19:25awesome to see. Shout out to you, Zack19:27D. And congratulations on those profits.19:30There were actually a lot of great19:32profits within the profits channel19:33today. There were a lot of great plays19:35and a lot of things popping off out19:37there as stocks went crazy. And if you19:40guys want to be able to take advantage19:41of some of these crazy moves, make sure19:43to check out the first link in the19:45description down below and get in on the19:48trading floor. Today, the Surgebot19:50called out MU for a 182% gain, JP Morgan19:54with a 160%, Apple 91%, Google 74%, WFC20:0059%. And of course, there were some duds20:03mixed in, but it was nice to see like20:05more than half the trades or just about20:07half going up by 45% or more. We did see20:11a lot of good price action today. And of20:13course, there are a lot of other things20:14in the trading floor as well, like20:16educational opportunities and tons of20:18tools and software that you guys can use20:21as traders. One of my favorite things is20:23going into the commands channel and20:25looking at some of the options order20:27flow or even some of the big money20:28statistics with the stocked upbot.20:31It's going to be a crazy rest of the20:33week. So, make sure that you check back20:35in tomorrow and let's crush it, guys.
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